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User:	WalterFootball	Views:	132
Draft Name:	WalterFootball.com 2010 NFL Mock Draft	Last Updated:	3/1/2010 4:10:33 PM
Description:	The mock draft is by our friends at WalterFootball.com
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Mock Draft

St. Louis Rams - Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame

FEB. 23 UPDATE: Two things of note: First, I was glad to see that Mel Kiper moved Jimmy Clausen up to No. 1 on his quarterback rankings and No. 4 in his 2010 NFL Mock Draft. I've had the feeling for a month now that Kiper has always wanted to put Clausen atop his mock, but didn't want to do so right away; instead, he wanted to gradually warm people up to the idea of Clausen going first. He couldn't do this instantly because Sun Tan Man would have spontaneously combusted.

And second, there have been rumors floating around about a potential Buccaneers-Rams trade. I addressed that in my 2010 NFL Draft Mailbag.

Detroit Lions - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska

FEB. 16 UPDATE: My take on Mike Mayock and subsequently Todd McShay (of course) putting Gerald McCoy over Ndamukong Suh: I have no problems with it. Suh generated so much hype because everyone saw that Big XII Championship. In a way, it's the same reason the Super Bowl point spread was so inflated. Everyone just saw the Saints struggle against the Vikings, and the Colts destroy the top defense in the NFL. No one remembered the week before, when Indianapolis barely outgained Baltimore, and New Orleans crushed Arizona.

McCoy was the consensus No. 1 defensive tackle before the Big XII Championship. Suh wasn't exactly chopped liver, but most people had McCoy over Suh before that game.

One more thing - Suh had two knee surgeries in his collegiate career. No one will ever know the severity of those knee injuries, and they obviously didn't affect Suh's performance. But they have to be cause for concern. What if Suh has one more knee injury and subsequently is no longer the dominant player he was at Nebraska? That's a lot of money down the drain for a team in a bad economy.

Right now, I'm 60-40 in favor of this being Suh over McCoy. Stay tuned.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma

FEB. 23 UPDATE: As I mentioned above, there have been rumors floating around about a potential Buccaneers-Rams trade. I addressed that in my 2010 NFL Draft Mailbag.

FEB. 16 UPDATE: I'm pretty convinced this pick will be used on a defensive tackle. In the end, the Rams will realize they can't spend a No. 1 pick on a position of mild importance when they don't have any sort of talent on a quarterback. I believe they'll talk themselves into either Jimmy Clausen or Sam Bradford.

So, with that in mind, the Buccaneers win either way. Ndamukong Suh supposedly is the better talent, but Gerald McCoy is the safer bet because of Suh's knees. Plus, McCoy is a better fit for Raheem Morris' defense anyway.

Other 2010 NFL Draft Possibilities:

1. Jason Pierre Paul, DE - I'm beginning to think Jason Pierre-Paul is more likely to be selected here than Eric Berry should the two defensive tackles be off the board. Pierre-Paul will probably bust, but he has outstanding upside and the Buccaneers seem to like him. Plus, taking a defensive end at No. 3 makes a lot more sense than a safety.

2. Eric Berry, S - Berry is a possibility here, though defensive backs are never chosen in the top three picks.

By the way, if you're a Bucs fan, make sure you check out Pewter Report.com. It's the ultimate source for inside news on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, including all of the draft prospects they're targeting.

Washington Redskins - Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma

FEB. 23 UPDATE: I don't think Jimmy Clausen will be available here, but if he is, he's the sure pick. Matt listed five reasons why the Redskins won't pass on Jimmy Clausen.

FEB. 16 UPDATE: This pick comes down to Sam Bradford's shoulder. If he's healthy - and the Redskins have Dr. James Andrews working for them, so they'll know better than anyone - Bradford will be the pick. If Andrews is pessimistic, Washington will take Russell Okung (or Jimmy Clausen if he's available).

If the Redskins tender Jason Campbell and keep him for a year, it doesn't mean that they won't take a quarterback with this selection. They may opt to use Campbell as a transitional guy for their quarterback of the future.

New regimes mean new quarterbacks, so unless Shanahan wants to keep Campbell around for a long time, he'll probably choose Sam Bradford. Snyder loves big-name players, so you know he'll definitely sign off on this move.

Other 2010 NFL Draft Possibilities:

1. Jimmy Clausen, QB - There's a good chance the Rams will screw up. If so, Jimmy Clausen and Mike Shanahan are going to light up the scoreboard for a decade.

2. Russell Okung, OT - If Clausen is off the board, and Dr. Andrews is pessimistic about Bradford, the Redskins will draft Russell Okung. Their offensive line is an abomination and must be fixed.

Kansas City Chiefs - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State

FEB. 16 UPDATE: Chiefs beat writer Kent Babb of the Kansas City Star believes the team will draft Russell Okung with this pick, and I would agree.

Babb writes that protection is a big issue for Scott Pioli, and the addition of Okung would allow Branden Albert to move to left guard, and Brian Waters to slide over to the center position. Three important upgrades for the price of one - sounds like a great deal to me.

FEB. 9 UPDATE: Branden Albert improved over the season and was pretty flawless in the final month. But I'm not convinced that he's a franchise left tackle. There's a chance that he could be, but I don't think anyone can seriously say that he's a lock to be one.

Scott Pioli invested $63 million into the noodle-armed Matt Cassel. He can't afford to have Cassel sacked 42 times again next year. If Albert's finish was a fluke, he's putting his big investment in jeopardy.

Fortunately, Pioli, who is a big believer in positional value, can take Okung without sacrificing too much of his team's payroll into the left tackle position. Albert will make less than $1 million in each of the next two seasons, and was a guard at Virginia anyway.

Okung is the real deal. He could take the Chiefs' offense to the next level, though the team will ultimately struggle in the playoffs because of Cassel's limitations.

Seattle Seahawks - Eric Berry, S, Tennessee

In his first NFL Draft with the Seahawks, Pete Carroll will have a ton of options at this juncture, ranging from Eric Berry, to Derrick Morgan, to Joe Haden, to Bruce Campbell, to Anthony Davis.

Carroll will be looking for his own "guy" to play quarterback and a franchise left tackle to protect him. The only non-reaches who could satisfy either of those needs here are Bruce Campbell and Anthony Davis (however, Davis doesn't fit the team's zone-blocking scheme). While Campbell could definitely be the pick, there are two things that are swaying me toward Berry.

First, Berry is the far superior prospect. Campbell's no slouch, but Berry is being hailed as the next Ed Reed. And second, Campbell has an extensive history of minor injuries that may deter some teams from taking him in the top 5-8. Recall what happened to Eugene Monroe last year.

And it's not like Seattle couldn't use Berry; the team was miserable against the pass this year, allowing seven of their final 10 opponents to compile at least 249 passing yards each game, with the three exceptions being two rookies and Vince Young.

Cleveland Browns - Joe Haden, CB, Florida

I've received tons of e-mails from Browns fans who have expressed their disdain about their team drafting a quarterback. As several e-mailers have said, "Defense, defense, defense."

Well, good news and bad news... The good news is that with Sam Bradford off the board, most Browns fans will be happy with this selection, assuming they take Eric Berry or Joe Haden. The bad news is that Cleveland is delaying its return to playoff contention for another year. To win in the NFL CONSISTENTLY, you need a franchise quarterback. The Browns are the only team in the AFC North without one, so it's no coincidence that they contend for the postseason only once every five seasons.

Haden projects as a shutdown corner, don't get me wrong - the scouting report compares him to Leon Hall - but cornerbacks don't lead teams to the Super Bowl. Franchise quarterbacks do. Just look at the last seven NFL champions if you don't believe me.

Haden will provide a huge boost for Cleveland's defense, but the Browns won't be a consistent winner until they find a franchise signal-caller.

Oakland Raiders - Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland

There are only four possibilities here: Taylor Mays, Carlos Dunlap, Bruce Campbell and Everson Griffen. That's it. If you think otherwise, you really don't realize how horrible of a drafter Al Davis is.

With Ryan Mallett headed back to Arkansas for another year, I think Al Davis will turn his attention to the offensive line. Despite being 6-7, 310, Campbell has a good shot of running a 4.9. If Al is awake at the Combine and sees this, he may think Campbell is the second coming of Anthony Munoz. Sad, but true.

Despite all of the Al jokes, Campbell would be the right selection here. The Raiders need help at left tackle, and Campbell is certainly worthy of being chosen at No. 8 overall.

By the way, pretty cool stuff - Campbell is currently ranked 11th in the DraftDebacled's Average NFL Draft Position. If you click on the names, you can read all of the mock draft analysis for that player and see the percentage of teams targeting each prospect. You can also create your own 2010 NFL Mock Draft to possibly have it listed in the 2010 NFL Mock Draft Database.

Buffalo Bills - Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers

General manager Buddy Nix recently spoke of his team's quarterbacks: "If they're good enough, they'll have a chance to be here ... It's hard to throw when you're lying on your back."

Perhaps an indication of where the Bills are headed come April? Left tackle is a huge need for the Bills, and they really have to be kicking themselves for passing on Michael Oher last year. They'll need to make amends here.

10)

Denver Broncos - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida

It's amazing how much hype Jason Pierre-Paul is getting. He had only one mediocre season (15.5 TFL, 5.5 sacks) in Division 1-A football and showed a lack of interest at times, but he's the second coming of Reggie White because he's 6-6, 260 pounds and runs a fast 40. Forgive me, but I don't subscribe to the Al Davis method of drafting.

Some stupid team will overdraft Pierre-Paul, and it could be the Jaguars. Jacksonville's top need is selling tickets and drawing fan interest. The team's No. 2 need is finding someone who can get to the quarterback. The Jaguars tried the 4-3 and the 3-4 in 2009, but nothing worked. Amazingly, the team finished with just 14 sacks, and no one had more than three. They may think Pierre-Paul can fix this problem.

11)

Jacksonville Jaguars - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State

FEB. 23 UPDATE: Feedback about this pick from BroncosCon via Facebook:

I still don't think Denver will draft Dez Bryant, but you have the site, and I'm just a schlep. It's not the "Patriot way" and I really think they will downgrade the importance of WR position. Look who McHoody signed as FA's. Is it a great pick? Yes, another reason why it won't happen. Look at Ayers, Robert.

Good point. My response:

Do we know if Josh McDaniels is going to do things the "Patriot way" though? He didn't have any input until the very end of his tenure in New England, and McDaniels doesn't strike me as the type of guy who would follow something that someone else did.

If Brandon Marshall leaves Denver, I think McDaniels will take Bryant, but it's certainly possible that he won't want to take a receiver this high.

FEB. 16 UPDATE: Owner Pat Bowlen said he wants Brandon Marshall to stay in Denver, but also said that he wouldn't veto any trade. This statement doesn't change my pick; what else was Bowlen going to say? "Marshall sucks, I want him gone!?" That would have lowered Marshall's value. Bowlen is just saying the right things.

If Marshall is traded this offseason to the Ravens or Bengals, the Broncos will be targeting Dez Bryant here; with Marshall gone, Eddie Royal will be the team's No. 1 wideout. Royal is talented, but Josh McDaniels hasn't figured out how to use him yet (which honestly boggles my mind).

12)

Miami Dolphins - Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama

I've seen a receiver mocked to the Dolphins, but I just can't imagine Bill Parcells spending a No. 1 pick on a wideout. It could happen, but except for one occasion (Terry Glenn, 1996), Parcells has always waited on taking receivers. And as e-mailer Eric K. reminded me, "Parcells only drafted Glenn in 1996 because owner Bob Kraft demanded it. Parcells wanted to take Vonnie Holliday with the seventh pick, but was overruled at the draft by Kraft. The disagreement and its outcome was one of the prime reasons that Parcells was eager to jump from the Pats to the Jets after the '96 season."

(Note: If I get one more e-mail saying, "Your stupid, Parcels drafted Keshawn Johnson!" I'm going to debacle myself. Keyshawn was drafted in 1996. Parcells joined the Jets in 1997.)

Conversely, Parcells has spent a whopping six first-round selections on linebackers. And inside linebacker is a huge need for the Dolphins; Channing Crowder is banged up far too often, while Akin Ayodele needs to be upgraded.

It's safe to say that Miami would be thrilled if the Broncos eschew Rolando McClain in favor of Dez Bryant.

13)

San Francisco 49ers - C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson

Running back is obviously not a big need for the 49ers, but they really could benefit from an enormous home-run threat like C.J. Spiller.

Spiller is the most dynamic offensive talent in this class, capable of going the distance at any moment. Having him on the roster could really open things up for San Francisco's offense. As an added bonus, he would also assist a pedestrian return game.

I don't think the 49ers would want to risk taking Spiller at No. 17 because the rival Seahawks would definitely consider him with the next pick.

14)

Seattle Seahawks - Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa

Aside from finding a franchise quarterback - Matt Hasselbeck is done - Seattle's top priority is upgrading the offensive line.

The Seahawks are really hurting for left tackle help. They have nothing at the position, as Sean Lockler is more of a right tackle. And besides, Locklear is really unreliable; he has missed 10 games in the past season and a half, and he's bound to get injured again sooner or later.

Bryan Bulaga is an athletic lineman who fits Seattle's zone-blocking scheme.

15)

New York Giants - Brian Price, DT, UCLA

Brian Price made a great decision by declaring for the 2010 NFL Draft. He just had a monstrous junior campaign with 23.5 TFL and seven sacks. He's currently the third-best defensive tackle available behind Ndamukong Suh and Gerald McCoy (though Dan Williams may have something to say about that). It'll be a big upset if he slips out of the first round.

Giants GM Jerry Reese loves bolstering the trenches, and defensive tackle just happens to be a big need.

16)

San Francisco 49ers - Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma

The 49ers have a huge hole at right tackle. Tony Pashos was out for the year, while Adam Snyder allowed 9.5 sacks. Finding an upgrade here is San Francisco's greatest priority.

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17)

Tennessee Titans - Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech

The Titans will be thrilled if this happens. Thanks to some team foolishly drafting Jason Pierre-Paul over Derrick Morgan, Tennessee gets to satisfy its greatest need with the No. 1 prospect at that position.

With a number of expiring contracts at defensive end this offseason - go here for the 2010 NFL Free Agent Rankings - this selection will be spent on a pass-rusher unless the Titans acquire a high-priced player at the position via free agency.

The Titans weren't able to get any sort of pressure on Philip Rivers without blitzing in a must-win game on Christmas Eve; to get back into the playoffs, they have to be able to consistently apply pressure on the quarterback.

18)

Pittsburgh Steelers - Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee

Casey Hampton will be 33 in September. He's still an effective player, but he's not the dynamic force he once was. Hampton is also a free agent, and while he could be franchised, Pittsburgh will be looking for a long-term replacement.

Dan Williams had an incredible Senior Bowl week. He looked great in practice and commanded double teams during the game. He would be a great nose tackle of the future for the Steelers.

19)

Atlanta Falcons - Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan

I'm torn between Sean Weatherspoon and Brandon Graham here, but ultimately, I decided on the latter because of positional value, which Thomas Dimitroff is a big fan of. Dimitroff has had three first-round picks, which were spent on quarterback, left tackle and defensive tackle - three of the five highest positions of value.

Defensive end could be next. The Falcons must upgrade a pass rush that produced only 28 sacks in 2009 - that's their No. 1 priority this offseason.

I'm concerned about Brandon Graham's height (6-1), but there's no denying his talent level. He's a tremendous pass-rusher, and he's great against the run. He can take Jamaal Anderson's spot in the lineup.

20)

Houston Texans - Earl Thomas, S, Texas

Houston's primary goal is to beat the Colts. They came close twice this year, but ultimately failed because of missed field goals and sloppy turnovers. However, their inability to stop Peyton Manning didn't help matters. In those two contests, Manning was a combined 61-of-85, 562 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions.

Free safety isn't Houston's biggest need, but the position can be upgraded. And besides, Earl Thomas is the type of ballhawking free safety that could get the Texans one step closer to finally defeating Manning.

21)

Cincinnati Bengals - Taylor Mays, S, Southern Cal

Taylor Mays lost a ton of money by going back to school; he was exposed last season as a hard-hitting safety who can't cover anyone. There's a chance he could drop into Round 2.

However, Mays is actually a good fit for Bengals defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer's scheme. He'll be considered here, along with Jermaine Gresham (I was going back and forth between the two).

Also, a very interesting trend: Since Marvin Lewis became head coach of Cincinnati in 2003, the Bengals have drafted four Round 1-3 USC players in that span. Marvin clearly likes his Trojan Men.

22)

New England Patriots - Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma

Ben Watson probably won't be back. If that's the case, and the Patriots have the opportunity to draft Jermaine Gresham, I believe they'll take it. Gresham, a first-round talent who could fall because of his knee injury, would be yet another dynamic weapon for Tom Brady to have at his disposal. If Wes Welker isn't ready by the start of the 2010 season, Brady will need someone talented to work with besides Randy Moss.

Sergio Kindle and Jerry Hughes would appear to be options, but it's worth noting that Bill Belichick has never spent a first-round pick on a rush linebacker. Belichick is smart, and knows that rush linebackers have extremely high bust rates because they didn't play the position in college, making the transition to the pros a very taxing one. And by the way, Belichick spent two first-round selections on tight ends in the last decade (Daniel Graham, Ben Watson).

23)

Green Bay Packers - Charles Brown, OT, Southern Cal

Aaron Rodgers received much better pass protection since losing to the Buccaneers, but things ultimately fell apart in Arizona. Relying on Chad Clifton to protect Rodgers' blind side for another year is not a good idea. Green Bay's No. 1 priority this offseason is finding a top-notch left tackle for Rodgers. Ted Thompson usually opts to draft the best player available, and you can make the argument that Brown fits that distinction here.

24)

Philadelphia Eagles - Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida

Andy Reid loves drafting linemen on both sides of the ball, and the Eagles will be looking for an upgrade over mediocre left end Victor Abiamiri this offseason.

Carlos Dunlap lacks consistent effort and was charged with DUI recently, so there's a chance he could fall out of the first round. However, Andy Reid seems to be on a mission to redeem every single football player in America, and given his new (unwarranted) contract extension, Big Red can afford to take a chance on a high-upside, low-effort guy like Dunlap.

25)

Baltimore Ravens - Brandon LaFell, WR, Louisiana State

If available, Jermaine Gresham is an option because Todd Heap is unreliable. However, Mark Clayton has been so inconsistent that he would force my hand anyway. If Derrick Mason retires, Joe Flacco will have absolutely no one to work with.

26)

Arizona Cardinals - Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri

What a painful offseason for Cardinals fans. Not only are they losing Kurt Warner and bringing in the Nick Lachey Hot Tub Offense; but Karlos Dansby is likely to sign elsewhere. Dansby is reportedly seeking $30 million in guaranteed money, effectively pricing himself out of most teams' financial limits.

The Cardinals can fix things by trading for Donovan McNabb or drafting Sean Weatherspoon, but both would ultimately require this selection.

Weatherspoon is a natural 4-3 weakside linebacker, but he could also be very effective in the middle of a 3-4. He'll take Dansby's spot and offer his tremendous leadership to an Arizona defense that surrendered 90 points in its final two games last year.

27)

Dallas Cowboys - Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho

E-mailer Austin W. pointed out that the Cowboys have never spent a first-round pick on an offensive lineman since Jerry Jones bought the team in 1989. This was a solid point, but upon doing some research, I discovered that Dallas actually did use the No. 29 overall selection on guard Steve Wisniewski 21 years ago (back then, that pick was a second-rounder. So, will the difference between pick Nos. 29 and 27 prevent Jones from drafting Mike Iupati? I don't think so.

Iupati makes too much sense here. He's the type of mauling offensive lineman Dallas loves to have up front. The Cowboys need help at the position. It's a perfect match, and I found it highly amusing that the Dallas Morning News reported that the entire Cowboys coaching staff "perked up" when Iupati's name was announced for the Senior Bowl Weigh-Ins.

Iupati had a great week of Senior Bowl practices, but he really struggled in pass protection during the game. He has a ton of upside, but he's still raw. I'd be surprised to see him go much higher than this (i.e. No. 17 to the 49ers).

28)

San Diego Chargers - Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State

Outside of Luis Castillo, who has missed 16 games the past four years, the Chargers don't have much at defensive end. Jared Odrick is a first-round talent, but he has some off-the-field incidents in his past (nothing too major) that might drag him into Round 2. However, A.J. Smith has shown that he's willing to take risks in the NFL Draft (Castillo, Antonio Cromartie).

29)

New York Jets - Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas

The Jets' top priority this offseason will be finding upgrades at the defensive end and rush linebacker positions. To get past the Colts, they'll need to get to Peyton Manning without exposing their secondary.

It's really amazing that Vernon Gholston has yet to register a single sack in his NFL career. You'd think he'd get one by accident or something. If no CBA is reached and 2010 is an uncapped year, Gholston could be cut without any sort of cap penalty.

This may seem a bit low for Sergio Kindle (some mocks have him going in the late teens). The thing is, teams are much more hesitant to take rush linebackers now because the conversion is so unpredictable. Just look at last year's results - no one in the top 15 selections took a rush linebacker. The Chargers (No. 16), Broncos (18) and Packers (26) went with one, but only Green Bay's selection (Clay Matthews) has panned out thus far.

It wasn't just last year; in 2008, the Jets were burnt by Gholston. They were the only team to gamble on a rush linebacker in the first round. I think some of these 3-4 guys will take a tumble come April.

30)

Minnesota Vikings - Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan

As if literally fumbling away the NFC Championship wasn't enough, the Vikings lost Cedric Griffin to a torn ACL. Griffin probably won't be ready for the season opener, which means that the cornerback position becomes one of Minnesota's biggest priorities this offseason.

31)

Indianapolis Colts - Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida

Even though the defensive side of the ball has been the weaker half of Indianapolis' roster, general manager Bill Polian has spent seven of his 10 first-round picks on offensive players.

One area of weakness on offense for the Colts is the offensive line. Left tackle, right tackle and right guard can all be upgraded. Maurkice Pouncey, the top lineman available, would fix the latter position. He could also function as Jeff Saturday's eventual successor.

32)

New Orleans Saints - Everson Griffen, DE, Southern Cal

Charles Grant is not expected back with the Saints next year. Grant, 31, had just 5.5 sacks this season and is set to make $4 million in 2010. Having a potent pass-rusher across from Will Smith and next to Sedrick Ellis would take New Orleans' defense to another level.

Everson Griffen slips out of circumstance. He really could go as high as No. 16, so getting him down here is a pretty solid bargain.


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